Resolved Markets
8 SETTLEDEvery market that has reached a verified outcome, with the evidence that settled it.
Will CVE-2026-35273 (PeopleSoft zero-day) be added to CISA KEV by end of June 2026?
[Auto-closed — deadline passed with no qualifying event] Market deadline was 2026-07-01. Today is 2026-07-08 (7 days post-deadline). No credible evidence found in recent intel or public sources that CVE-2026-35273 has been added to CISA KEV or that Oracle has released a patch. The deadline has passed without qualifying evidence of resolution.
Will the US Government approve the release of Fable 5 and Mythos 5 to customers again before August?
Will CISA add CVE-2024-3400 (Palo Alto PAN-OS command injection) to the KEV catalog?
CISA added CVE-2024-3400 to the KEV catalog on April 12, 2024 with a federal remediation deadline of April 19, 2024. Active exploitation confirmed by Palo Alto Unit 42 and Volexity before the patch was widely deployed.
Will a ransomware attack cause a major US healthcare payment processor to go offline for more than 7 days in 2024?
BlackCat/ALPHV attacked Change Healthcare on February 21, 2024, taking it offline for over 30 days and disrupting prescription processing for thousands of US pharmacies. UnitedHealth Group reported $872M in losses in Q1 2024.
Will international law enforcement disrupt LockBit ransomware operations by mid-2024?
Operation Cronos confirmed February 19, 2024. NCA, FBI, Europol, and 10 allied agencies seized LockBit's primary leak site, 34 servers, 200 cryptocurrency wallets, and arrested/indicted key affiliates.
Will Ivanti Connect Secure zero-day vulnerabilities be actively exploited before a full patch is available?
Volexity confirmed active exploitation of CVE-2023-46805 and CVE-2024-21887 as of January 10, 2024. CISA issued Emergency Directive 24-01 requiring federal agencies to disconnect affected devices. Over 2,100 devices were compromised globally before patches were available.
SELFTEST contested market — will it resolve YES?
SELFTEST xp market 1 @20%