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ZERO-DAYRESOLVEDCrowdStrikeFalconPrivilege EscalationWeaponizedauto-generated

Will CrowdStrike FalconFlank exploit be used in active attacks by Sept 2026?

RESOLVEDNOOct 2, 2026

[Auto-closed — deadline passed with no qualifying event] The market deadline of 2026-10-01 has passed (today is 2026-10-02). No credible evidence from CISA, CrowdStrike, Mandiant, or reputable security vendors documenting active exploitation of the CrowdStrike FalconFlank zero-day in APT intrusions or via confirmed use in field attacks has been identified in recent threat intelligence.

Evidence: https://threatodds.com/markets/f7001695-62de-418c-bc43-79b6c1ed9259
78%
YES
22%
NO
0 predictions
YES
NO
80%60%40%20%
30d25d20d15d10d5dnow

Market Overview

AI GENERATED

Anonymous researcher 'Nightmare Eclipse' publicly released a CrowdStrike Falcon zero-day (FalconFlank) enabling SYSTEM privilege escalation on fully patched Windows systems. Bleeping Computer reports the exploit is functional and weaponizable.

Primary Source

Resolution Criteria

Public disclosure by a reputable security firm (Mandiant, CrowdStrike threat intel, CISA), media reporting, or confirmed use in APT intrusions documented in OSINT or vendor threat reports by Sept 30, 2026.

Market Info

ClosesOctober 1, 2026
CreatedSep 5, 2026
CategoryZero-Day
Created by@ThreatOdds
Creator accuracy0%
ResolutionCommunity vote + moderator
StatusLIVE

MARKET STATS

Total Predictions0
ClosesOctober 1, 2026
ResolutionCommunity + Moderator
CategoryZero-Day
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