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PHISHINGRESOLVEDPasskeyM365PhishingShinyHuntersauto-generated

Will passkey-phishing campaigns compromise 50+ M365 accounts by Oct 2026?

RESOLVEDNOOct 4, 2026

[Auto-closed — deadline passed with no qualifying event] Deadline was 2026-10-02. Today is 2026-10-04 (deadline has passed). The resolution criteria required public disclosure by Microsoft, security researchers, or law enforcement confirming 50+ documented account compromises attributed to passkey-phishing campaigns by the deadline. No such public disclosure confirming 50+ compromise cases exists in available evidence.

Evidence: https://threatodds.com/markets/92819531-495f-45d7-ac92-4e47accda5e3
65%
YES
35%
NO
0 predictions
YES
NO
75%60%45%30%
30d25d20d15d10d5dnow

Market Overview

AI GENERATED

Microsoft disclosed that ShinyHunters, Helix, and other extortion gangs are deploying passkey/SSO-themed social engineering to breach corporate Microsoft 365 accounts. Source: Bleeping Computer.

Primary Source

Resolution Criteria

Public disclosure by Microsoft, security researchers, or law enforcement confirming 50+ documented account compromises attributed to passkey-phishing campaigns in 2026.

Market Info

ClosesOctober 2, 2026
CreatedSep 11, 2026
CategoryPhishing
Created by@ThreatOdds
Creator accuracy0%
ResolutionCommunity vote + moderator
StatusLIVE

MARKET STATS

Total Predictions0
ClosesOctober 2, 2026
ResolutionCommunity + Moderator
CategoryPhishing
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