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ZERO-DAYRESOLVEDMicrosoft DefenderZero-DaySYSTEM accessKEVauto-generated

Will Microsoft Defender ShieldCrash zero-day be added to CISA KEV by end of September 2026?

RESOLVEDNOOct 2, 2026

[Auto-closed — deadline passed with no qualifying event] Deadline of 2026-09-30 has passed (today is 2026-10-02). No evidence in the provided recent intelligence confirms that CISA added ShieldCrash or a Microsoft Defender zero-day CVE to the Known Exploited Vulnerabilities Catalog by the deadline.

Evidence: https://threatodds.com/markets/bbdd55dc-745d-4114-a8d6-7fdbf6eaa046
82%
YES
18%
NO
0 predictions
YES
NO
80%60%40%20%
30d25d20d15d10d5dnow

Market Overview

AI GENERATED

Security researcher Nightmare Eclipse released a new Microsoft Defender zero-day exploit named 'ShieldCrash' that grants SYSTEM-level access, disclosed shortly after Microsoft's September 2026 Patch Tuesday. The vulnerability is in Defender itself.

Primary Source

Resolution Criteria

YES if CISA adds ShieldCrash (or a CVE explicitly linked to this Defender zero-day and Nightmare Eclipse disclosure) to the Known Exploited Vulnerabilities Catalog by Sept 30, 2026, based on evidence of active exploitation or imminent threat.

Market Info

ClosesSeptember 30, 2026
CreatedSep 9, 2026
CategoryZero-Day
Created by@ThreatOdds
Creator accuracy0%
ResolutionCommunity vote + moderator
StatusLIVE

MARKET STATS

Total Predictions0
ClosesSeptember 30, 2026
ResolutionCommunity + Moderator
CategoryZero-Day
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