Will a Western government formally attribute a 2026 critical-infrastructure intrusion to a nation-state actor?

Attribution of critical-infrastructure intrusions (energy, water, telecom) to state actors signals escalation. This market tracks a formal, named attribution by a Western government in 2026.

Resolution Criteria

Resolves YES if a US, UK, EU member, Canadian, or Australian government body formally attributes a 2026 intrusion into critical infrastructure to a specific nation-state (or its named APT) via official statement or advisory. Resolves NO otherwise.