Will OpenAI's preparedness team dissolution lead to a public safety incident by end of 2026?

OpenAI disbanded its preparedness team in late July 2026, which assessed model risks and developed mitigations. The Financial Times reported the decision as significant for AI safety governance. Market resolves YES if OpenAI models cause or enable a documented harmful incident attributed to lack of risk assessment after team dissolution.

Resolution Criteria

Documented incident (security breach, harmful model output enabling crime/harm, regulatory finding) publicly linked by credible media or OpenAI statement to the preparedness team's absence; OR official regulatory finding of negligent risk governance. CISA advisories, vendor statements, news reports from Ars Technica, Reuters, Bloomberg, or similar count as evidence.