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AIMULTI-CHOICELIVEAIFrontier ModelsLLM
Which lab will release the next frontier model after Anthropic's Fable 5?
Probability Distribution1 predictions
OpenAI
36%Google DeepMind
27%Anthropic
14%Meta
5%xAI
9%Other
10%Market Overview
Anthropic's Fable 5 set a new frontier-model bar. This market asks which lab ships the next model that surpasses it on a widely-cited public benchmark or leaderboard (e.g. LMArena, MMLU-Pro, SWE-bench).
Resolution Criteria
Resolves to the lab whose model is first to be independently reported as surpassing Fable 5 on a major public benchmark/leaderboard, per coverage from 2+ reputable outlets or the leaderboard itself. Resolves "Other" if it is a lab not listed.
Market Info
ClosesDecember 31, 2026
CreatedJun 10, 2026
CategoryAI
Created by@admin
Creator accuracy100%
ResolutionCommunity vote + moderator
StatusLIVE
MARKET STATS
Total Predictions0
ClosesDecember 31, 2026
ResolutionCommunity + Moderator
CategoryAI
CREATED BY
A
@admin
Platform Admin · 100% acc